WILL MERKEL & SARKOZY JOIN UKIP?
The present day Conservative party does not have a European policy it has a vendetta. It’s declared policy is to pick a fight with the EU, and if possible prevent the Lisbon treaty coming into effect. In short its intention is to paralyse the future development of the EU. Biq question: what will the rest of the EU and most the French and German governments do whilst a UK government sticks knives in them ? Will they accept that a UK Conservative government paralyses or fragments the great politcal project they have laboriously built up over the last 60 years ?
It must by now be obvious to the French and German governments, and all other governments of the EU, that the UK political parties have lost the fight against the Euro-sceptic British press and that UK policy towards the EU is a media issue not a rational economic or political issue. (The forthcoming EU election results will confirm that.) In effect the main UK political parties are the front men, the patsies, the puppets, of the anti-EU views of the British press. That is common knowledge amongst themselves but not amongst the British public.
Blair’s time as Prime Minister was a clear revelation of the UK relationship to the EU. In private and in Europe he was pro EU, but in British politics he took no risks for the EU but took enormous political risks to go on crusade in the Middle East with the neo-con Republican President George Bush. Blair proved De Gaulle right. De Gaulle refused to let the British into the EEC because he said they weren’t really European and would always side with the Americans. So if even Blair, a pro-European, french-speaking Prime Minister became in effect the gun-dog of US foreign policy, what likelihood of there being a real pro-European British Prime Minister and government. Answer ; almost certainly none.
So what have France, Germany, Spain, and the rest of the EU to expect from the UK ? Only that our politicians, mainstream and lunatic fringe, will continue to be anti-EU front men for the anti-EU media moghuls who run the British press. A future Cameron government with its anti-EU vendetta will confront the EU, and especially its two central governments with a fundmental question. Can the EU have a coherent. progressive future if that future is held hostage by the British media moghuls working through their compliant, frightened puppets the British political parties of government ? The answer is obviously no.
So will major EU governments do what the mainstream UK political parties have been afraid to do ? Will the UK party political middle-men will be squashed flat in a stand up fight between those European politicians who believe in the future progress and development of the the EU and the controllers of the UK media dedicated to paralysing or fragmenting that European project ? Will France and Germany stand up to the anti-EU media in the UK by demolishing a media puppet regime, that of a Cameron government ? They have shown that they can stand up to the USA ; will they be afraid to stand up to the UK ? Will they decide to finally lance the UK boil ? Perhaps yes ; the economic conditions to do it are perfect and will be so for several years with UK finances in a truly dire condition.

It would be a very good tactic for Merkel and Sarkozy and a few other EU leaders to get together after a future Cameron government announces its EU wrecking strategy to announce to the world that they think UKIP has a good point, and yes perhaps the UK should leave the EU. Such an announcement would send Sterling, the London stockmarket and the UK economy into free fall. Thereafter a UK government would have to frantically deny any intention of leaving the EU in order to try and limit the economic damage caused by uncertainty about the UK position in the EU. Alternatively it must say that it will leave the EU and then the UK economy will vaporise, and Britain will be plunged into its own private version of the 1930s or worse.

At the very least the result will be a humiliated and weakened UK government with little negotiating leverage in the EU, or anywhere in the world for that matter. Or at worst a future UK government will have disemboweled the UK economy and the world will witness the political hari-kari of a once great country. And all the international business that used to be in the City of London will move to Paris, or Frankfurt, or Amsterdam. And lots of industries will flee from the UK to set up in other countries of the EU. And won’t the governments of France, Germany and elsewhere be upset to see all that business and investment and industry heading their way during a global recession; as well as having eliminated most obstructive country for the future development of the EU.

I have presented here a Machiavellian worst-case scenario for how a future UK wrecking strategy could be dealt with by some EU countries. But stranger things have come to pass. All those UK media pundits, politicians and euro-sceptic fanatics who persistently push anti-EU propaganda and clamour for our separation from the EU should be very careful what they wish for. And Messrs Cameron and Hague would do well to remember a line from one of the tragedies of the famous Athenian playwright Euripides « those whom the gods wish to abandon they first make mad. »

Kevin Hannon, West Midlands European Movement. 10.5.2009.